Try Quests to earn FLOWPlaybook challenge Activity Prediction
Introduction
Flow is a blockchain platform that originally was designed for gaming purposes, but has expanded since its launch in 2020. The flow blockchain enables fast, low-cost transactions and supports smart contracts. Currently the most popular uses for flow are their NFT marketplaces, and currently NFT All day is one of the top NFT collections on Flow.
š NFL ALL DAY
NFL ALL DAY if a NFT project running on the flow blockchain. Each NFT in the collection is a highlights with authentic video called Moments, officially licensed by the NFL. Each Moment is part of a tier that shows people how rare it is.
- Ocasionally NFT packs are released that can be oppened to receive a pre-ditirmend number of NFL ALL DAY NFTs.
- Most moments have betweeen 1000 and 10,000 NFTs of it.
Check out their website here:
What are Playbook challenges?
Playbook challenges are NFL all day challenges that reward collectors for holding moments if players who outperform in an upcoming game. The people who complete these challenges receive yards that can be used to get NFL ALL Day packs. Here is an example of a challenge __
Game plan
In this dashboard, we are looking to answer the following questions about Playbook challenges
- What are the change in sales, volume, and users buying an NFT when that NFT is involved with a playbook challenge?
- What would the price of different players, teams, and position NFTs look like if they were involved in a playbook challenge?
Methodology
In this dashboard, we will take the data from NFTs that were involved in playbook challenges and how the Price, volume, and sales activity of the NFTs changed during this event. This data will be used to model how the prices of NFL ALL DAY NFTs change in price and sales activity when they are part of an active playbook challenge. The first 3 sections of this dashboard will allow the user to model out the sales activity of NFTs if they were involved in playbook challenges. The 4 final sections of this dashboard show the Playbook events and NFT sales activity that were used to model the NFT activity of any NFL ALL DAY NFT.
Data
The data for this dashboard comes from the flow.core.ez_nft_sales and flow.core.dim_allday_metadata tables of Flipsideās database
Sections
- Player playbook model
- Team Playbook model
- Play type Playbook model
- Thursday Night Challenge - Sept 8
- Monday Night Football - Sept 12th
- Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 22
- Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 29
Player playbook model
Team playbook model
Play type playbook model
Description
- The graphs on the left show the sales activity and price of the selected play type if there was a Playbook challenge for that player on October 20th.
- The graphs on the right show the sales activity and price of the selected play type from October 19th - 21st without any Alterations.
Observation
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On Average, the day before a playbook challenges the NFTs potentially involved in the challenge increased a small amount.
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On the Day of the Playbook challenger if the NFT is selected to be a part of the challenge its price increased drastically for the day of the challenge. more expensive NFTs have a smaller price impact from the playbook challenges.
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The day after the Playbook challenges NFTs involved in the challenge usually have trading activity below their average.
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Thursday Night Challenge - Sept 8
Observations
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the game and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales acitive of the challenge NFTs dropped off dramatically
- of the ~7,000 challenge NFTs about 1,000 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the of Challenge NFTs where about 32% lower than their price they were leading up to and during the contest
Monday Night Football - Sept 12th
Observations
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales active of the challenge NFTs dropped off dramatically
- of the ~1,800 challenge NFTs about 400 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs were about 18.1% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 22
Observations
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales active of the challenge NFTs dropped off
- of the ~1,200 challenge NFTs about 350 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs were about 58.1% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 29
Observations
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- One the Challenge ended the price and sales acitive of the challenge NFTs dropped off
- of the ~2,600 challenge NFTs about 400 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the of Challenge NFTs where about 52.1% lower than their price they were leading up to and during the contest
Conclusion
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Playbook model
- On Average, the day before a playbook challenges the NFTs potentially involved in the challenge increased a small amount.
- On the Day of the Playbook challenger if the NFT is selected to be a part of the challenge its price increased drastically for the day of the challenge. more expensive NFTs have a smaller price impact from the playbook challenges.
- The day after the Playbook challenges NFTs involved in the challenge usually have trading activity below their average.
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Thursday Night Challenge - Sept 8
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the game and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales activity of the challenge NFTs dropped off dramatically
- of the ~7,000 challenge NFTs about 1,000 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs was about 32% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
-
Monday Night Football - Sept 12th
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales activity of the challenge NFTs dropped off dramatically
- of the ~1,800 challenge NFTs about 400 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs was about 18.1% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
-
Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 22
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales activity of the challenge NFTs dropped off
- of the ~1,200 challenge NFTs about 350 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs was about 58.1% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
-
Thursday Night Challenge - Sept. 29
- There was increased buying of Challenge NFTs before the games and a large spike of buying during the game
- Once the Challenge ended the price and sales activity of the challenge NFTs dropped off
- of the ~2,600 challenge NFTs about 400 of them were flipped in 3 day time period examined
- The median price of the Challenge NFTs was about 52.1% lower than the price they were leading up to and during the contest
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